Many people, whether they have purchased a handicap system or not, have an idea of what a horse racing system is and what it should do. But for those of you who don’t, in my opinion, here’s what a disability system should do for you and what the alternative, chaos, will do for you.
Handicap systems generally attempt to assess the horses and other racing factors, such as the skill of the jockey and trainer. Some systems award points for the basic factors such as class, speed, form, and the aggregate total is used to compare each horse to the field. What good systems do is signal when a horse has an advantage over the other horses.
Then it’s usually up to the handicap to find good bets based on the advantage or disadvantage each horse has. Some people try to use the highest rated horse as a straight win bet to make a profit. This usually leads to disaster because the best horse is often easily spotted by the betting public and walks away with low odds.
There are some programs that try to establish a betting line and recommend bets when the horses have certain advantageous odds. I’ve looked at a few of these and they didn’t seem to make a profit either, although that’s the supposed purpose of a bet line. In the end, it almost always comes down to the tipster who must make the final decision.
Betting systems are a bit different in the sense that they do not examine the merits of each horse, but rather generally rely on historical data which is used to reach a conclusion on odds and odds. They are the province of mathematicians and can be profitable, but once they are in the public domain they often lose their edge because too many people use them.
Finally we come to chaos. Chaos is simply not a system at all. It is random and uncontrolled and leads to certain losses. It requires little effort but comes at a high price because you will lose and lose a lot over time. While short-term wins can occur, due to the takeover, also known as vig, the random horse player will eventually lose everything.
The best value is found by combining a good handicap system that evaluates horses and then applying a good betting system to exploit the advantages that certain runners have. Some judgment is required on the part of the user and that almost guarantees that the best systems will offer some chance of profit because, human nature being what it is, many people simply won’t spend the time learning a good system. and how to apply it.
